111 total price changes this week - 6 were increases in listing price in SCV
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111 total price changes this week - 6 were increases in listing price in SCV
Connor “with Honor” MacIvor - July 20, 2025** Tags: SantaClaritaRealEstate, SCVMarket, HomeBuying, RealEstateInvesting, ConnorWithHonor, OpenHouses, MortgageRates, PropertyMarket, RealEstateTrends, FirstResponderRealtor, SCVListings, PriceChanges, RealEstateStrategy, HomeSelling, MarketAnalysis, SantaClari ** 0 Comments | Add Comment
Blog Post: Unveiling the Santa Clarita Real Estate Market Surge – Price Changes, Inventory Insights, and Strategic Moves for Buyers and Sellers
TL;DR: Dive into the Santa Clarita Valley (SCV) real estate market’s latest surge, featuring 808 active listings, 111 price changes (mostly reductions), and a shifting landscape driven by inventory growth and mortgage rate dynamics. Connor MacIvor, your first-responder-turned-Realtor with CALDRE 01238257, breaks down four years of data, offering expert strategies to navigate this evolving market effectively.
Welcome to the frontline of the Santa Clarita Valley real estate market as of July 20, 2025. I’m Connor MacIvor, a former X-LAPD motor cop, firearms instructor, and drug recognition expert turned Realtor, bringing a no-nonsense approach honed by years of service and a PhD-level mastery in real estate, fasting, muscle building, AI, sales, entrepreneurship, SEO, AEO, and online content production. After dropping 135 pounds from 365 to 230 in 7.5 months at 52 through fasting and hormone regulation—documented on https://www.youtube.com/@homemuscle—I now apply that discipline to guide clients at SantaClaritaOpenHouses.com and HonorElevate.com. Today, I’m peeling back the layers of a market surge that’s rewriting the rules for buyers and sellers alike. Let’s get into it with some hard data and actionable insights.
The Inventory Explosion: 808 Active Listings and a Two-Year High
The SCV real estate scene has erupted with activity over the past few weeks. We’ve seen an astonishing increase of at least 50 new listings almost overnight, pushing the total to 808 active properties as of this Sunday morning. This marks the highest inventory level in over two years, a trend that’s been simmering since mid-2024 and now boiling over. Unlike the broader Southern California market, where inventory dynamics vary widely, SCV—encompassing Castaic, Canyon Country, Newhall, Saugus, Stevenson Ranch, and Valencia—is experiencing a localized boom. You can monitor every one of these listings in real-time at https://www.santaclaritaopenhouses.com/blog/active-listings, where updates from the multiple listing service roll in every few minutes, free of ads or fluff—just the raw data you need.
This inventory surge outpaces absorption rates, meaning homes aren’t selling as quickly as they’re being listed. With approximately 21,000 residential listings analyzed from January 2021 to June 2025, the data reveals a market transitioning from scarcity to abundance. For context, this is a stark contrast to the 2022 peak when inventory was tight, and homes flew off the market. Now, with 808 listings, buyers have more choices, and sellers face a new reality. This shift isn’t just numbers—it’s an opportunity, but only if you play it smart.
Price Changes: 111 Adjustments, Mostly Reductions
Of the 808 active listings, 111 have undergone price changes in the past week, and here’s where it gets interesting: only 6 were price increases, while 105 were reductions. This overwhelming trend of price drops signals a market adjusting to the influx of inventory. Sellers are recalibrating their expectations, and buyers are gaining leverage they haven’t seen in years. Historical sales data, cross-referenced with current trends, suggests this could be the early stages of a buyer-friendly market, though it’s not yet a buyer’s paradise. The 111 price changes—representing about 13.7% of active listings—highlight a sellers’ scramble to stay competitive, a move that could set the tone for the rest of 2025.
To put this in perspective, let’s drill into the median days on market (DOM) versus median list price for SCV residential properties over the past four and a half years. In January 2021, homes sold in a brisk 8 days at a median list price of $599,900. By June 2025, the DOM has stretched to 25 days, with the median list price climbing to $750,000. This elongation, paired with the recent price reductions, indicates a cooling from the 2022 peak, when homes sold in 6 days at $759,500. The data, drawn from 21,000 listings, shows a market adapting to new supply levels, and the 105 price drops are a clear barometer of that adjustment.
The Data Deep Dive: Days on Market vs. List Price Trends
Let’s break down the numbers to give you a granular view of SCV’s residential market across Castaic, Canyon Country, Newhall, Saugus, Stevenson Ranch, and Valencia. Based on 21,000 listings from January 2021 to June 2025:
Contrast this with Southern California-wide data (over 2.1 million listings), where DOM hit 34 days in January 2025 at a $599,800 median list price, and SCV’s stronger price points stand out despite longer market times. This resilience points to sustained local demand, but the growing inventory—now at 808—could tip the balance toward buyers if the trend continues. The interplay of DOM and list price reveals a market in flux, where timing and strategy are everything.
The Driving Forces: Mortgage Rates and Golden Handcuffs
What’s fueling this shift? Look no further than mortgage rates, tethered to the 10-year bond yield. Many SCV homeowners are locked into low rates from the early 2020s—think 3%—while current rates hover around 6% or higher, depending on credit history, loan type, and other factors. This phenomenon, dubbed “golden handcuffs,” keeps sellers in place, reluctant to trade a $1,000 monthly payment for double that on a new home. For a $1 million property, that difference is a staggering $1,000+ per month, a financial hurdle that’s holding inventory steady despite the recent surge.
If the Federal Reserve cuts rates—and the trickle-down effect reaches mortgage lenders—expect a flood of new listings as sellers cash out. But until then, the market’s response is cautious. Competition is brewing, and we might see a return to the 2022 days of standing-room-only open houses and multiple offers. Back then, buyers waived inspections and appraisals to win bids, a tactic I’d strongly advise against now. A 30-year mortgage is a marathon, not a sprint—due diligence is non-negotiable.
Broader Market Context: SCV vs. Southern California
Zooming out, Southern California’s market tells a slightly different story. With over 2.1 million listings analyzed from January 2021 to June 2025, the region saw a DOM peak of 34 days in January 2025 at a $599,800 median list price, reflecting broader softening. SCV, however, holds firmer at $750,000 with a 25-day DOM, suggesting localized strength. This discrepancy underscores SCV’s unique position—driven by community demand and proximity to Los Angeles—yet the inventory surge aligns with regional trends. The 111 price changes in SCV mirror a wider adjustment, but the 105 reductions highlight a more pronounced local correction.
Strategic Moves for Buyers
For buyers, this is a golden window. With 808 listings and DOM stretching to 25 days, you’ve got room to negotiate. Start by getting pre-approved at https://www.santaclaritaopenhouses.com/blog/dream-home-finder to strengthen your position. Book a free, no-obligation consultation at https://zoommescv.com or call me at 661-888-4983 to craft a plan. Avoid the 2022 trap of waiving appraisals—know the home’s value before committing. With my background as an investigator and AI adopter, I’ll uncover opportunities you might miss, from foreclosures at https://www.santaclaritaopenhouses.com/blog/foreclosure-search to new constructions at https://www.santaclaritaopenhouses.com/blog/new-construction-properties-for-sale-in-acton-ca.
Strategic Moves for Sellers
Sellers, the 105 price reductions are a wake-up call. Don’t overprice and let your home languish—get a free market analysis at https://www.santaclaritaopenhouses.com/blog/free-market-analysis to set a competitive price. The market’s shift means standing out is critical, especially with 808 listings vying for attention. My experience as a first-responder-turned-Realtor ensures I’ll market your property effectively, leveraging my local board membership and AI tools from HonorElevate.com. Call 661-51-HOMES to discuss, and let’s get that “sold” sign up fast.
The Future Outlook: A Market in Transition
This inventory blowout could be a turning point. A rate cut might unleash more listings, sparking a 2022-style rush with multiple offers and heightened competition. For now, the market’s adjusting, with DOM and price trends signaling a buyer-leaning shift. My advice? Stay ahead of the curve. Connect with me at https://www.santaclaritaopenhouses.com or test my AI voice system at 661-219-7299 for cutting-edge support. Whether you’re buying or selling, timing is everything—let’s align your move with the market’s rhythm.
Leveraging AI and Expertise
As an AI influencer with https://www.youtube.com/@aiwithhonor, I’ve explored artificial intelligence’s role in real estate, from market predictions to personalized strategies. My community at https://community.honorelevate.com offers AI adoption for Realtors and businesses—join us at 661-367-8685 or Connor@HonorElevate.com. This tech edge, combined with my street-smart real estate know-how, gives you an unmatched advantage.
Recap: Key Highlights
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